NCAA Tournament

About to go on a run of basketball related posts, starting with a pre-look at the NCAA Tournament.  I am a big proponent of the Sagarin ratings, and use them here to plot projected brackets.  The #1 seeds are: UConn, Duke, Villanova, and Texas.

Top 4 seeds by region:
1. UConn
2. Carolina
3. Florida
4. Gonzaga

1. Duke
2. Ohio St.
3. LSU
4. Pittsburgh

1. Villanova
2. Illinois
3. Tennessee
4. George Washington

1. Texas
2. Memphis
3. Kansas
4. Washington

Duke's "draw" is of most interest to me.  Remembering that this is purely fictional, Duke would have Delaware St. in the first round again, just like 2005.  In the 2nd round, we'd get the winner of Oklahoma and Wichita St (what a match-up that 8/9 game would be, given the geography).  In the Regionals, you're looking at Pitt or Iowa.  Then, facing the survivor of Ohio St, LSU, West Virginia and FSU to go to the Final Four.

Last 4 at-large teams in: Texas A&M, Syracuse, Arizona, and Colorado
Last 4 teams out: Notre Dame, Louisville, Creighton, and Alabama.
Teams Out that are probably in: UAB, Seton Hall